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Tactical Homework #3

Wednesday, March 21st, 2012

TEOTWAWKI has come and gone. You have been hunkered down in your retreat for a couple months as the cities burned and the human locusts ravaged the countryside. You have been lucky so far, whether by blind luck or faith you cannot say.

You and your regular squad are out on patrol. You are definitely within the retreat’s area of influence – say a 1/2 mile away as the crow flies. While crossing a large, open area multiple shooters fire off at least a dozen rounds between them.If your a suburban prepper, you were crossing a wide boulevard or park, if your retreat is in the sticks, then you were crossing a large field or meadow.

After hitting the deck and scrambling for cover, you verify no one is hit. You know that it is at least two shooters, and they are pretty far away – 400 to 600 yards. As one of your team pokes their head out to scramble for better cover another staccato of shots ring out, with bullets hitting about 30 feet away.

They seem to be firing from the same spot, a brushy wood line, as before. Muzzle flashes as they shoot at a nearby stone wall (or abandoned car) confirms their location. Any attempt at verbal communication results in 2-10 shots being fired.

What do you do?

Two Big News Items

Tuesday, March 20th, 2012

There are two big stories out there that I feel everyone must know. First, Greece has a big bond payment due to the ECB today. The other story is a bit strange. A source of mine in law enforcement told me that an order came down to check to see if their gas mask filters have not expired.

The Greek payment is just another rung on the ladder out of this recession. I am convinced that Greece will default, but if the ruling oligarchy doesn’t let it be called a default, then the derivatives do not kick in. Without the trigger for the CDS (credit default swaps) on the now-worthless bonds, then the big euro banks stay liquid. Otherwise, it is a free-for-all as the dominoes start to tumble.

I guess we will see later this afternoon and tonight if the payment is made, if it is extended, or Greece defaults. The Greek crisis is the current hole in the levy. If we extend this “world economy as a levy” metaphor, then it is being undermined in many places: the PIIGS, the shrinking middle class, the outrageous US government debt, the “meltup” on Wall St., etc. As the economic leaders sandbag one part of the levy, the rest weaken further, draining resources faster then they can be brought to bear on these weak points. In other words while the world economic powers shore up Greece, Italy and Spain are collapsing. Even here in America, the FDIC is running out of funds to bail out banks. The CBO (congressional budget office) is endlessly revising the cost of socialized medicine upwards, while increasing the costs of our wars.

What’s going to happen when we are at war with Iran? The answer is more money printing, and eventually hyperinflation.

Onto the second story. You would think that a regular inventory of equipment is a normal thing for large law enforcement agencies, but it isn’t. Even after 9-11, there was no organized inventory of gas mask filters. My own conjecture leads me to believe that this is coming down from a federal agency, not at the whim of some higher-up in the chain of command.

As a prepper I am immediately thinking this has to do with the executive order signed by our President last Friday, the National Defense Resources Preparedness . Full text is here. A lot of people are freaking out about this. In short, it gives the Feds the right to take anything you own, make you work at their whim without compensation, and other anti-freedom and anti-free market stuff that gives the Libertarian in me an eye twitch that won’t go away.

I’m not as concerned as most preppers because there was an existing series of executive orders that already allowed this stuff. At first glance this seems to collect them all in one spot for easy dissemination to the goons in charge of the work gangs.I have not read the full text yet, and compared it to the existing executive orders, but I want to. When I do, I’ll make a post about it.

I do not know why this gas mask inventory is going on, but my guess is that some federal agency (DHS, FEMA, etc.) told the head honcho that there was a confirmed possibility of a terrorist strike involving chemical weapons, or there is a concern of riots on the scale of the LA riots in the 90′s.

I have asked my source to look into if his organization has increased their inventory of tear gas or where this order came from. I don’t know if he can get me that information without ruffling feathers, and I asked him not to draw any attention to himself over this. This is also why I will not name him, or even which agency he works for.

So there is a lot of stuff going on, I just hope my grain mill gets here before the bad stuff goes down. Stay alert. Trust no one. Keep your laser handy.

Fitness Update

Thursday, March 15th, 2012

The hardest thing about my line of work is finding sensible food choices when running between airports, hotels, and client locations with only a candy machine for food. The TSA has determined in its infinite wisdom that only a terrorist would bring food or water through a security checkpoint, so having some healthy snacks in my bag is not an option most of the time.

I have managed to stick with a lower calorie diet, and making those calories as healthy as I can. Now that I’ve cut back on soda, I’m feeling a lot better all around, and I’m sleeping a lot better since I switched to non-caffeinated teas at night. I haven’t lost a lot of weight though. I am getting thinner, I need to add another hole to my belt, and my clothes are becoming ill-fitting. Time to spend some cash on smaller clothing, although I really don’t want to yet. I have a lot of clothes for work, and replacing them would be a large expense. I’m going to selectively buy replacements as I wear them out, or if I catch them on sale.  I am still shrinking, so I don’t want to invest money in clothing that is going to be too big for whatever size I wind up.

Other than the problems with food acquisition, things are going pretty well on the fitness regimen. Just the other day I was humping gear up a flight of stairs and the skinny guy was out of breath and panting while i was still going strong. This led me to take an inventory of my body, which is weird since I live in it you would think that I would know WTF is going on, right?

I’m getting skinnier, but my weight is not dropping. the layer of fat on my arms, chest and legs is definitely getting thinner. I used to be able to gather about a 1″ thick roll of fat from my forearm while the muscles are flexed. Now, I’m gathering about 1/2″. The larger muscle groups are much more pronounced, but the measuring tape is showing that I have actually shrunk in size.

I think that I am burning the fat inside the muscles now, which results in a net reduction in size. This is because I’m burning this fat faster than the muscle fibers are thickening. Think of it this way: I used to be a Ribeye with nice marbling, and I’m becoming a lean NY Strip, with a little fat on the outside. This is all conjecture on my part since I do not have a dip tank to measure my fat percentage. I’ll confirm this theory when the fat inside my muscles is exhausted, and I see faster fat loss on the outside.

I cannot stress enough the importance of fitness as a preparation. There are those out there in the blogosphere who think you need to be as fit (or better) than a front line combat troop. I am way to busy to work out every day for a few hours. I feel the middle ground is the way to go. My goal is to be fit enough to be healthy, and flabby enough that I have time for the 10 billion other things I have to spend time on. If I need to increase my fitness level post-collapse I will be in a position to do so.

This workout rotation I have been focusing on low weight and high reps. I do this workout three times a week, and it kicks my ass just as much as the heavy lifting cycles, if not more so. The hardest part is figuring out a weight that I can do the required reps, but just barely be able to finish. Some days you have more energy than others, and this complicates matters enough that I’m only just getting everything down pat. Just as this cycle is about to end. This is what I’m doing right now:

  • Bench Press: 1×25,1×20, 1×15
  • Lat Pull Downs: 2×30
  • Close Grip Bench Press: 1×25
  • Barbell Curls: 1×15
  • Barbell Curls (reverse grip): 1×10
  • Squats: 3×20
  • Upright Rows: 2×25
  • Stiff-Legged Deadlifts: 2×25 (Really have to vary the weight depending on how my lower back feels. I’ve also skipped them to allow my back to recover from day-to-day abuse.)

I’ve cut down on the reps for the single group exercises because the plan is to use compound exercises to burn fat. I’m doing the curls to burn some fat, but really I am just trying to make sure my body is not eating these muscles instead of fat.

You have no excuses. You will need to lift/carry/ haul stuff if there is a calamity. Would you rather be like me, and carrying 40# boxes up and down stairs without getting winded, or the skinny IT guy who was out of breath and panting after 15 minutes. How far could this skinny guy walk if he had to? Don’t be the “Cupcake Commando” who thinks he will lose weight after TEOTWAWKI. Include fitness as a prep, and while the Cupcake Commando is having a heart attack carrying buckets of grain up from the basement, you will be milling grain for tomorrow’s bread.

Mutual Aid Groups

Thursday, March 8th, 2012

Today I wanted to share some thoughts on mutual aid groups (MAG) and the roles that need to be filled in them. Every group is unique, so I am presenting archetypes, rather than specifics. As groups get larger, then specialization can allow the persons knowledge to go more in depth in an area, but not as many subjects. Specialization also means the tool sets are better for their task, but don’t overlap as much with specialties. Tool sets gain more functionality, but are not necessarily any cheaper.

Let’s look at an example of this. If your MAG has a dozen adults, then your “handyperson” might be able to patch a roof with scavenged supplies, perform basic plumbing and electrical and build outbuildings and such. They can do some maintenance to keep equipment running, but might not be able to manufacture parts they need for in-depth rebuilds of a generator engine, or make shingles for a new shed from scratch.

Now if your MAG had a hundred adults, then the “handyperson” archetype might be spread across a dozen people. These people could then focus on one topic very thoroughly, knowing that others will be there to support them with whatever they need. So you might have in that handyperson group a carpenter, blacksmith, metalworker, woodworker, plumber, electrician, auto mechanic, diesel mechanic, small engine mechanic, lumberjack, and a welder.

In a group of any size, I cannot stress the importance of cross-training and shared labor. Obviously, you want to have two people who can do a job function in case something bad happens tot he primary person, but also a second set of hands is good to tackle larger jobs. A third set is even better. Complementing that is that people need to have different things to do, and to get practice in their backup specialties.

Here are the archetypes I thought of:

  • Builder – This archetype is in charge of maintaining the MAG’s shelter, and expanding it when needed. I would include any of the construction trades here, because if the Shooter wants to build a defensive barricade, the builder would most likely have the skills to build it correctly.
  • Caregiver – Not only will there be children to watch, there will be older people in the group that will eventually need care as they age, or others will need help from recovering from an injury. The Caregivers watch kids and seniors alike so adults can focus on their specialties, without worrying about the kids. In this archetype, I would include those who prepare food.
  • Communicator – Monitoring radio traffic for news, and facilitating communications between other MAGs and inside your own group could be critical if the poop hits the fan in a really bad way, and Rule of Law has been abandoned. The Communicators are also the diplomats of the post-TEOTWAWKI world, one of their duties would be too contact and maintain communications with your neighbors.
  • Councillor – there is going to be friction within a group, and the Councillor’s job is to keep escalating negative emotions from causing a rift inside the group. Councillors also can aid Leaders and Communicators with their functions by giving insight into the other party’s mindset. (Think of Diana Troy from Star Trek: TNG.)
  • Custodian – People and animals poop, and the Custodian’s job is to deal with it, and keep us humans from making a mess of everything. We humans are messy, and keeping a sanitary camp or home goes a long way towards keeping everyone healthier and happier. I’m willing to bet that if you toured a camp that was tidy a month after TEOTWAWKI, then that group would be able to survive – and even prosper where a retreat that had litter would not. Be careful of keeping the perimeter too clean, it might tip off people that someone has the energy to maintain the area is nearby.
  • Energizer – Although a large number of preppers feel we are “going back to 1800,” the reality is we have access to electric and internal combustion machines that make our lives easier and more productive. The Energizer’s job is to provide the group with power, and more importantly – heat for warmth and cooking. This can include alternative energy, natural resources like wood, and even the manufacture of fuel like biodeisel, woodgas, alcohol, etc.
  • Entertainer – Without ten thousand channels of cable TV, movies, video games, etc. Someone will have to keep everyone entertained during the evening hours. Your Entertainer might be whover happened to grab thier iPod on the way out the door, or someone who can play an instrument. Maybe you have  someone who is willing to organize a variety show once a week. I think this will be a vitally important job if the crisis lasts a long time. People need to let off some steam – before bad feelings can start causing the Councillor to work overtime keeping the group running smoothly.
  • Grower – The cornerstone of nutrition in an extended crisis will be the group’s ability to grow its own food. I would also add that gathering wild fruits and vegetables is important for both the short and long term.
  • Healer – People in your group are going to get hurt, sick or pregnant. Band-aids can only go so far, and I think it’s impossible to stock enough condoms. No matter what you do for “natural” birth control – pulling out, watching her cycle, etc… eventually she will get knocked up. Most people don’t know that there are sperm in “pre-cum” that are just as vigorous swimmers as their brothers and sisters in the “money shot.” Then Nature has a way with randomly kicking a woman’s cycle out of whack every now and then, foiling attempts to use natural birth control. Oh yeah, before I forget – condoms can only be stored for a few years.
  • Hunter / Husband (as in animal husbandry) – Meat is good, you should have some after the end of the world! Someone will need to tend to the livestock, and take advantage of whatever game is in the area.
  • Leader – Someone has to be in charge, and this person is it. Even if the job is to juggle the guard rotation and direct labor to a common purpose, it still takes time and some skill to do it well.
  • Mechanic – If it has a gas tank, then the Mechanic’s job is to keep it running. Here I would also include any of the metalworking trades, including welding.
  • Merchant – There are two aspects to this archetype, and those would be the quartermaster, and the horse trader. Someone needs to maintain a hold on the resources of the group, and dole out supplies as necessary. The other aspect, the trader is more along the lines of my specialty. There will be a time when your group has an excess of a resource, and a deficiency in another. It’s going to be the horse trader’s job to get the best bang for the buck for your group. Think of Klinger or Radar from M*A*S*H. those two were always trading cases of peaches for jeep tires to get a case of toilet paper from the 8063rd.
  • Scavenger – this Archetype’s job is to convert trash and junk into useable resources. For example, a broken-down abandoned car can be stripped for a lot of useable material, while removing an eyesore. Empty and abandoned homes will present a safety hazard, hence the specialized skillset to recycle the useable parts and disposing of the rest.
  • Shooter – The most common idea out there on the web is some “lone wolf” sniper who weighs in a svelte “tree-fity” who thinks he’s some uber-tactical genius because he plays Call of Duty: 3. There is more to this archetype than being able to fire a weapon. Off of the top of my head we have a few skills that most don’t even think of while pounding Mt. Dews and stuffing their pie-holes with Cheetoes.
    • Ammunition Reloading
    • Camouflage
    • Combat Engineering – Building defensive structures and how to assault  the “bad guy’s”  fortifications
    • Demolitions – Improvised munitions, ordnance re-purposing, disarmament and safe disposal
    • Hand to Hand combat
    • Law Enforcement TO&E for Local, State and Federal. Don’t forget BATF, ICE, FEMA, or other law-enforcement agencies that could be deployed in a crisis. To me, the non-traditional law enforcement groups, like ICE or the EPA would be more dangerous in a crisis because they do not have the same quality or quantity of training as regular cops, but they do have machine-guns and riot gear for their officers to wear.
    • Melee weaponry & fighting skills – Knife, axe, sword, baton, quarterstaff, bo, jo, etc.
    • Military – TO&E and tactics for the US, Canada, China, Russia and other potential “peacekeepers” that may be deployed inside the US. Don’t forget the National Guard and militias for your state and neighboring states.
    • Primitive weaponry – Bows, spears, javelins, atlatl, and my favorite – bolas
    • Prisoner management – At some point you will catch some outsider where they are not supposed to be and have to deal with them.
    • Recon & Intelligence Gathering
    • Stealth
    • Strategy
    • Tactics
    • Threat assessment and management
    • Training
    • Weapon maintenance and repair
  • Technician – Finally, we have the archetype that keeps all your electronic gizmos working. There are electronics in everything these days, and having someone around who can finagle with them is a good idea. Also, you have a tremendous labor multiplier with a computer system. There is also a possibility in a limited collapse that some Internet connectivity is maintained, or supplanted with another ad hoc network that could be used for communications and information.

 

Escalation

Tuesday, March 6th, 2012

As I review the news feeds from the comfort of my Sekret Bunker, I am sure that things are heating up. Greece will default, the new question is whether it is a “limited” or “full” default. Spring, and good weather is coming, and this should bring the Occupy cockroaches out from the Starbucks and Spoken Word poetry readings to camp out in cities once again. The Republican primary is better written than a soap opera, with plenty of drama to fulfill its role of Bread & Circuses for the unwashed masses. China is quietly gearing up for war – the beginnings of a blue water navy and rapidly evolving drone programs should have our military think-tanks in a near-hysterical state, but since some orange troll from Jersey is knocked up, who cares?

For my Christian readers, I have to wonder if Snooki’s pregnancy is one of the signs of the apocalypse. If not, it probably should be.

Most analysts agree that the DJIA has “priced in” the inevitable Greek default. I do not share in that opinion, because the profession of  “financial analyst” is the only one that is less accurate than meteorologists. When European and American banks start to go tits up in the derivative holocaust that follows a Greek default I fully expect a shockwave of panic to hit investor and TBTF banks alike. This could be the tipping point for a global collapse, especially if some large Asian banks become insolvent from holding Eurodebt.

As for the Occupy movement, I expect this spring and summer to be reminiscent of the late 60′s, with a new Kent State incident. Our law enforcement officers can only take so much indoctrinational training and propaganda of “us versus them” and “everyone is a terrorist” before some college drop-out is shot for dropping his laundry, bending over, and winking at a “new boot” cop still in training. The other possibility is the Occupy trustifarians take some cues from rioters and start throwing bricks and molotov cocktails at the riot cops. Either scenario is ugly, and unfortunately a distinct possibility. The unions ans other special interest groups have thorough control of this occupy movement by now, and these people are just more pawns on the MOACB’s (Mother Of All Chess Boards).

China is the wildcard. When will the quiet gear-up become saber-rattling? When will the Communist Chinese finally take back their “rogue province” AKA Taiwan? My guess is when they have us by the balls, and we are to busy trying to survive a financial collapse to fight for 14,000 square miles on the other side of the Pacific.

Then there is Iran. I started writing a post about Iran and the possibility of a “conspiracy” within the US federal government and military of committing a false flag attack to draw the US into a full-blown war with Iran. I have to do more thinking and research on that topic before I post. Even without a “false flag” attack, that nitwit Aminjaicantspellhisnameandimtolazytolookitup is nuttier than a pecan pie, and is crazy enough to attack us on his own. Soaring oil prices would pop the illusionary bubble of “green shoots” and 10% unemployment, sending our economy on a boat trip to the Bermuda triangle with some fat captain and his “lil buddy” for a three-hour tour. another complicating matter is that Russia and China would love to see us in another war, and they could be the source of either a false-flag attack or even a whisper in the nitwit’s ear.

Keep prepping, this is only going to get crazier as time goes on.

 

 

Internet Vacation

Monday, February 27th, 2012

Sorry for the lack of posts for last week, I was on a forced Internet vacation. I was onsite with a client where they put me up on-site instead of a hotel, and all internet traffic was uber-monitored. I didn’t even check personal mail, the security was so tight. Tight enough if a buddy sent me a nudie pic of a girl I would have been reprimanded. Opening a VPN connection to the outside world would have gotten me escorted off premises in handcuffs.

Now that I’m back to the normal world, I had some catching up to do. I met with my brother for breakfast, and an interesting conversation happened. He’s having girl problems. She has a teenage son from a fling when she was in her early 20′s, and they are now shacked up with my brother. She doesn’t pay squat for rent, health insurance, or most bills, but she does feed everyone off of her food stamps and pays for the electric and phone.

She has now decided that “She needs to find herself” and has broken up with my brother with the bright idea that they can still be roommates. My brother has been sleeping on the couch, or in his truck in below freezing weather.

Now that you have the background, here is how the conversation went. (WARNING: Crude language. This is how we really talk…)

Me: “So you two are broken up, but she is not contributing.”

Bill: “No, she pays a couple bills and cleans the hose all the time. Like I said.”

Me: “Bill your poor as hell, and your supporting that freeloading bitch because she thinks she may be a lesbian or something? As soon as she told me she wanted to break up I wold have told her to get the fuck out.”

Bill: “I can’t do that, she has a kid!”

Me: “So you have to support your ex-girlfriend’s grown child because of why? He’s not your kid, and therefore, not your responsibility. If you let them live there at least make them pay half of the rent and bills.”

Bill: “See you just can’t give anyone a break. You’re a cold-hearted bastard.”

Me: “There is a difference between giving someone a break and letting them fuck you in the ass and wipe their dick off on the tablecloth.”

Bill: “It’s not like that. Not at all.”

Me: “Really? What if she decides she isn’t a lesbian and brings home some swinging dick to fuck in your bed?”

Bill: “You don’t understand!”

I do understand. Maybe I am a bit callous when it comes to the end of a relationship, but I learned the hard way after my heart was abused more than once. Bill and this girl have no clue. They have yet to break through the “culture of entitlement.” She feels she is entitled to live there for free, and my dumb-ass brother thinks because she has a child that she is entitled to live there for free as well. This kid has never worked a day in his life. I started at the age of seven with a three mile paper route. I was working full-time in the summers at the age of nine. If he wants to do the roommate thing, that’s fine, but she has to carry her own weight.

I guess I’m a bit of a prick. Whenever I cohabited with a girlfriend, I ensured we both carried a healthy portion of the load. Some of my ex-GF’s were making minimum wage so I had them cover some of the bills, but leave them enough for spending money and clothes. One GF was utterly dependent on her dad for everything. I made her get a job – the first in her life – as a prerequisite to our sharing an apartment. She was pissed with me at first, and really pissed at me when I pointed out how much self confidence she had after a year of working. She never liked me pointing that out to her, even when I explained that the sexiest thing a woman could wear was self-confidence.

So my brother’s situation won’t change.  He can’t get ahead because he has a misplaced moral obligation to support girls and thier children because they were in a “long term relationship” that ended because she’s confused. And before the comments start to fly, I could give a rat’s hoop if she is or is not a lesbian. I know some of my readers are socially conservative, but whatever. I’m in New England, and this stuff happens often enough. She could be using this as an excuse for a breakup or a change of penises, it’s irrelevant. If my brother would have the nut to set a move-out date, then this girl would be forced to evaluate their relationship, and her life, but because she has the free ride, she can have her cake and eat it too.

Humans will not change unless they are forced to. Unless, of course, they have broken their conditioning and have full use of their powers of reason. The other benefit of breaking of this conditioning is the give of perception. You can see the world as it is, free of the taint of other people’s influence.

A Break from Cramming

Wednesday, February 15th, 2012

I’ve been studying up for my computer certifications, and I think I broke my brain. I’m taking a break to read the news and write a post.

I recently completed a cheap ($175) welding class at an area high school. The teacher was awesome. Half the class was just screwing around, the rest just wanted to fix stuff using the schools equipment and supplies. I went there to learn, and I learned a lot. I’m not happy with my TIG welding yet – I need more practice, but my MIG and arc welds are pretty darn spiffy. I’d bring the teacher a coffee and after the other seven students got settled, I’d pick his brain on what I was doing wrong, and how I could get better. What rods to use with what metals and how to figure out what metal something was made out of. Now I’m in the market for a used welder. I can’t afford a TIG system, so looks like MIG will have to suffice. I’m looking to get one that does MIG and stick, but beggars cannot be choosers.

This is all part of my overall strategy to learn the skills and buy the gear to make myself more self reliant. I have the woodworking and computer skills. The addition of welding gives me another way I can make some money in a post-financial-collapse America. I also can save a boatload of money by making things myself. My fabricated items will be higher quality than the Chinese crap out there, and cheaper to make — if you don’t count time.

There has been talk of advanced welding classes for the fall, which would be sweet. The other advantage of taking the class has been meeting a dude from the local highway department, and another guy who does tree work and landscaping. I might be able to work a trade for wood for some custom wooden toolboxes. Nice.

The other advantage is the teacher is asking his buddies if they have a used welder I might be able to barter for or buy… Sweet!

So get out there and see what the local community college or high school has for adult education. The only time to stop learning is when you’re dead. Or a Zombie.

 

Shipping, Greece, Europe, and more

Monday, February 13th, 2012

“Strange things are afoot at the Circle-K” – Ted Bill and Ted’s Excellent Adventure.

One of the indicators I like to keep an eye on is the Baltic Dry Index. this keeps track of the bulk carriers and just before the 2008 crash it dropped like a rock. It’s dropping now, there was even a story last week of shipping rates going negative, but some of that was bullpucky. (The shipper cut someone a break on the fuel because they needed to re-position the ship to the destination port anyways.) There are millions of tons of shipping capacity idle – just like 2008.  This is a very strong indication to me that really bad things are around the corner.

Shipping is such a great indicator because nothing is made locally anymore and to move these raw materials (grain, ore, etc.)  you use bulk carriers. I would wager that if nothing is being shipped, then nothing will be produced fairly soon. These factory yards can only hold do much in the way of raw material as inventory. The same point in time inventory our supermarkets use is also used by just about every supply chain.

I’m expecting another crisis/downturn/whatever to happen very soon. There are to0 many tennis balls in the air for the global economy to juggle.

Which leads me to the next subject, Greece. By the look of Athens it was if they won an NBA World Championship, or lost to the Bruins in the Stanley cup. Reports are that 150 stores were looted, and 45 buildings were gutted. They rammed the “austerity measures” bill through their government this weekend to show the EU that the Greek government is playing ball.

This “Greek Crisis” is important for a number of reasons: EU stability, it’s a blueprint for the rest of the PIIGS, and the effects on the world derivatives markets. To me, the most important reason is that Greece is a microcosm of America. What happens there, will happen here when the “austerity cuts” start when municipalities, counties, and states start to bankrupt. Since the Greek police and troops are out of tear gas, things are not looking well for us. How crazy is it that they dumped so much tear gas that they have run out and there are still rioters in the streets? What would the historically poor city of Compton be like if welfare was cut in half? The answer would be just as bad as Tampa, Florida — A “white ghetto.” I’ve been to both, and neither one is a place I’d go back to.

Ultimately, the Greek government has no connection to the will of the people. The People don’t want “austerity measures” and are angry enough about it to riot. Do you think the American government has any connection to the will of the people? Didn’t think so. I find this schism fascinating, and I’ve resorted to reading non-US papers online to try to gain some insight into the Greek situation so I might better understand our own problem. (A big thanks to Google Translate.)

As for the rest of Europe, things are not as rosy as they let on. Turns out the mighty industrial Germany, is starting to stumble. Or has been stumbling and they have been hiding it. March 20th is when the next EU bond payment is due from Greece, and I’m very curious if Greece is going to be able to pay, or have the stones to tell the EU to “get stuffed.” The EU knows that Greece is only the first of many headaches, so they need to be tough to keep them in line. The Greek government knows this, and also knows that there are many other countries on the chopping block, or will be soon. Greece can position themselves as the first domino and milk the IMF to keep them liquid.

So many economic bombs are up in the air, I am having a lot of trouble keeping track of it all. the big question is if one of these bombs are dropped and it goes off, does it cause a chain reaction, or is it an isolated explosion?

 

Update – Time Management

Wednesday, February 8th, 2012

To stay on top of things with my now-hectic life, I have been doing some life organizational things. I’ve been keeping lists in Evernote of all the stuff that needs to get done. Every night before I leave work I gather a few of these tasks together and make sure they get done before I screw around.I mix things up between tasks related to prepping, home maintenance, home improvement, organization, cleaning, etc. so I have a varied diet of tasks, but over the course of a week a lot of stuff gets done.For example here is my list of stuff to do tonight:

  1. Replace security light in the back yard (15min)
  2. Vacuum den & kitchen (15 min)
  3. Mount USB hub. (30min) (I have a USB hub on my desk, I’m reducing clutter by mounting it with velcro and re-running the wires.)
  4. Vacuum dust bunnies while under computer desk (5 min)
  5. Strip the 3 dead pc’s for parts – recycle the plastic and metal cases (30 min)
  6. Collect all tax documents together (15min)
  7. Measure kitchen cabinet for plate rack. (5 min)
  8. Find the %&%^@# solar power book! (? hours)

I’ll bang these out after my workout, and fix myself some dinner while doing them. Not all of these tasks are the most critical. I pull a mix of tasks to keep banging through all lists, and I try to do a lot of the smaller items during the week. After I do as many of these as I can, then I study for an hour or so for my exams. then I goof off playing games or watching TV for an hour before I hit the rack.

For the weekend, I focus on fewer, but longer duration tasks. Like for Saturday, I have been putting off some car maintenance, but it looks like we are getting snow. If I can’t hit the scrapyard and fix the jeep, then I’ll have a list of other items to tackle, and schedule the jeep stuff for next week.

I have read not to beat yourself up for not getting all your tasks done, but to move them to the next day’s list. Likewise, if you can’t do a task, then it goes back in the bucket for later.Kindof like if you miss a workout, don’t moan about it, just do it the next day you can.

A friend reccomended making three lists of stuff to do, in lists A, B and C. the A list is the stuff you really want to do, and C is the stuff you have to, but don’t want to. What he does is he can’t do an A list item until he does 3 B list items, and he can’t do a B list item unless he does a C list item first. His A list is leisure stuff –watch a movie, or buy a gizmo he wants, or play Skyrim for an hour. His C list is stuff like pay bills or scrub his toilet. I don’t thenk the ABC list system will work for me, but I figured I’d share it in case you guys might like it. He also varies the ratios depending on how much stuff he needs to do.

I’m finding the trick to this is to have a good idea of what a task is. Recently, I completed a series of drawers and cabinets to store all the accessories, parts, and bits for my routers (woodworking, not network) and found I was making my tasks too big. Most of us would have task#34 “build router table” on their list when in reality I had to break it up into more manageable parts, like this:

  • Rummage through the workshop and collect every router-related item
  • Measure space under table saw for router dust collection, determine how to run dust collection
  • Figure out remaining space, and where I can tie into for support
  • Measure router bits and all accessories for drawer dimensions
  • Draw plans in Sketchup
  • Buy supplies (drawer slides, knobs, PVC fittings – dust collection, wax, 1/4″ ply)
  • Build bottom drawers carcass – for accessories
  • Build bottom drawers & mount with drawer slides
  • Build bit drawer carcass
  • Build bit drawers & wax runners
  • Build top tray drawer carcass
  • Build top tray drawers & wax runners
  • Load all the stuff into their new home

Originally, I estimated two hours for this task, but the project took well over eight. don’t get me wrong, this is a really nice storage item for the workshop, and my router bits are all in one spot and are no longer getting ruined by banging into each other and chipping the carbide. The point is that you should organize things into tasks and projects. Projects are then broken out into many tasks. This way while I was waiting for my drawer slides to ship, I could switch gears and work on other tasks around the house.By dividing bigger items into projects of many tasks, you can also get a better estimate of how long the whole thing is going to take, and you can plan your time more effectively.

I have created a project called “cleaning the house” where I list all the weekly stuff that has to get done around the house, and make sure I schedule them. I’m also making a list of the monthly items and make sure I get them all done during the month, fitting them in as time and weather allow. I probably make a list of the quarterly items we always forget to do and get them done as well. We are all guilty of forgetting to test the smoke and CO detectors, replace furnace filters, clean the dryer ducts, gutters, and so on and so forth. If it’s on a list then it will get done. Maintaining momentum has been critical for me.

I’m finding that interruptions are a major time sink for me. Entering a 5 minute task to do later in Evernote is kind of pointless, as it takes a few minutes to enter a task. I keep a post-it note handy, and jot things down as they pop in my head, but keep working on whatever I was doing. Then later when I am done with whatever I was working on, then I go over the list and bang them out right then and there. On my post-it note I have the following from this morning:

  • Call XXXX to schedule site visit
  • learn how to make potato pancakes (like chili’s used to make)
  • buy CA glue
  • Watch the Thinapp webinar
  • Call scrapyard to see how late they are open
  • buy whey protein
  • call XXXX and see if she is happy with Database fix
  • order vitamins
  • call XXXXX to talk VMware View for the labs
  • Add “fix sheet goods caddy” to tasks
  • build a coat rack w/ shelf for gloves & hats
  • order rare earth magnets
  • call in a favor from XXXXX to fix electrical
  • send email to XXXXX
  • fill out timecard
  • make reoccurring appointment reminder for timecard, and meds
  • dial into XXXXXX and check their event logs
  • send note to XXXXX to see if application slowness fixed

After I’m done with my next post I’ll go through these little items and bang them out. Then take a 5 minute walk and grab some grub. Once done w/ lunch I’ll take another task off of a list and work on that, sidelining interruptions onto the post-it note for later.

I just realized I have been doing the zero-inbox steps to all interruptions. Those are:

  1. Delete
  2. Delegate
  3. Respond
  4. Defer
  5. Do

Interruptions are the time killer, usually it takes longer to get back to what you were doing in the first place after an interruption than it would take to just do whatever bugged you. pay as little mind to them as possible and focus on getting the task done, then deal with them later on. Let that call go to voicemail, turn off e-mail and text message notifications during work. Close the twitter, facebook, and linkedin pages so they don’t draw your attention. Schedule time for e-mail, and going through voicemail. It’s hard to believe, but people can wait an hour for a response. Especially if you take the time to give them 100% attention for that e-mail, rather than half-assing it.

This Evernote app has been very helpful. While on break at work I mark the tasks to be done tonight with the “tonight” tag, then a saved search gives me a list of stuff to do. As I do each item I click the checkbox on my phone, and it’s marked complete.

Getting my brain wired to be more productive is a prep in itself. Not only will this make me a better worker, and help me stay employed with my current employer, this will help me a lot if I can do my own business. I also maximize my time, which allows me to do more with less. We preppers split our lives between what is and what may be. We live in the now, and in the future. We have a lot to get done, and not a lot of time to do it. This mental organization is allowing me to stay on top of my preps (the future) while keeping the present in balance.

Puffy Rice?

Monday, January 23rd, 2012

I went through a lot of my preps this weekend, and I found that about 28# of rice I had vacuum sealed was “puffy.” Not the kernels themselves, but the vacuum was gone, but the bags were intact. I’m worried about botulism, and have pulled them from my preps for now. What would cause the rice to outgas? Has anyone else seen this before? I was careful when I packaged the rice, and it looks like it was only the batches I did in 7/09 and 11/09 so far. All the rest of the vacuum sealed rice (about another 30#) seems fine, including some bags from those batches. All the other vacuum-sealed items like beans, lentils, corn, dehydrated fruit, etc. are all still under a vacuum.

Please leave a comment if you know what’s going on!


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